- the emergence of structure oligarchy concentrating wealth and power -1% of the population, up, binges in a way that makes no sense.
- aging which is bound for the capital belongs to the rather old.
course, most of the old are not big capitalists. Just walking down the street ... Aging is at the heart of the democratic process because more than 65 years represent over 20% of the electorate.
Sarkozyism The speech is the reform of the change, "It's going to move! . And, indeed, Sarkozy moves, it stirs. His election was well dressed.
But demographic analysis of the vote in 2007 shows something else: Sarkozy had 44% of the votes of more than 65 years in the first round. More than any right-wing president, Sarkozy has been elected the old.
Why? Because France has been terrorized by the 2005 riots, which were an uprising of youth. This fear was revived by the incidents of the North Station in March 2007, just before the presidential election. The pension issue is the emergence Demography at the heart of French political problem.
The idea of adjusting the working time on life is scandalous. What was strange in this reform is the announcement from the start, retired people (the electorate Sarkozyist) would not be affected, and therefore the cost of adjustment would be borne by young people. This reform meant to revitalize the country reflects, in truth, the fact that power is power Sarkozyist old. All arbitrations are against young people.
Proponents of reform say it will save the system for young people facing debt of sixty-eighters.
The reality is that the government does not face the economic reality. It makes no sense to put plans in place in the indefinite future, in a context of inaction and laissez-faire, while the French economic system disintegrates. The priority is to deliver on the right track, and pensions will follow.
You are conducive to the return of the state in the economic sphere?
Not at all. The protectionists are liberals who believe the market, the free activity of the company. You just set the size of the playground. It is the opposite of the bureaucratic state. It is the liberal state, which organizes the existence of a market. Me, I think the market.
What do you think the motivation of young people who took to the streets?
I do not like to talk about social categories. But I have a little hard to imagine that 15 year olds can really worry about their retirement. For cons, the economic oppression of youth is real ...
The proportion of youth who are pursuing higher education is almost equal since 1995, younger generations have never been so well trained. Generations of illiterates are retired.
It is crazy in a society that spends a lot of energy to the education of its youth and then adheres to an economic system that ensures the suppression of the youth and the decline its standard of living.
is an enormous waste of energy. The young are quite aware of what to expect on the job market. And so I guess they are not very happy. The novelty of the period, is that apart from the top 1% of the social structure no one benefits from the system.
In 1995, Western standards, it was estimated that 20% of upper middle class laughing with a post picked up 50% of wealth.
Today, these same 20% have incomes stagnate or decline. It is a process of reunification of the society from below: an inexorable mechanical crushing the different categories, starting with the weakest: youth from immigrant families, world folk, middle class ... There were cars that were burning in Saint-Brieuc!
Demography condemns us to right-wing governments for twenty years?
There is a strong probability. In Europe, the right-hander has been solid. But we are not in the worst situation: the median age of the French is a little less than 40 years in Germany, 44. Democracy is the most advanced senile, Germany. Things are more complicated.
must think, as does Louis Chauvel, in terms of generations. The more than 70 years have a history highly favored in economic terms. But we will see the arrival of "new old", having had very hard lives as active, and whose income will decline after retirement.
The Golden Age of the war boom was a parenthesis. How will turn the "new old", like me? It is not known. I'm not very optimistic. "
full interview in http://www.rue89.com/entretien/2010/11/28/emmanuel-todd-notre-classe-dirigeante-nest-pas-au-niveau-178081
